Duquette hoping lightning can strike same place twice

November 03, 2012 | Glenn Clark

Duquette hoping lightning can strike same place twice

You are aware it isn’t true, right?

There is a well known idiom that says “lightning never strikes the same place twice.” The origins of the idiom are not fully known, although it has been attributed to writers like P.H. Myers and Mary Roberts Rinehart over the years.

Lightning can not only strike the same place twice, but could strike the same location an infinite number of times. There are no geographical laws for where lightning can strike, although we can certainly accept the notion that a lightning strike is more likely to hit a tall building than a sidewalk.

If for some reason you’re still REALLY interested in understanding this, here’s a little tutorial Accuweather put together to explain the phenomenon…

I went with this lede because I had to admit it was close to my initial response upon hearing the Baltimore Orioles believed the acquisition of 2B Alexi Casilla had solved their problems at second base.

In fact, I believe my quote was something like “does Dan Duquette really think lightning can strike the same place twice?”

If the Birds’ Executive Vice President of Baseball Operations had been in the room, he could have looked back at me calmly and said “well…it can.”

After claiming Casilla off waivers from the Minnesota Twins, Duquette declared second base to be addressed. He told team-owned entity MASN, ”I think we have enough people on our roster to man the position.”

The O’s second year man Ryan Flaherty at the position with Brian Roberts also perhaps a candidate to retain to the field after hip surgery. Veteran Robert Andino is also an option if the Orioles choose to tender him an offer. Omar Quintanilla is unlikely to return to the team after seeing very little time down the stretch and being left off the postseason roster. Touted prospect Jonathan Schoop may or may not be ready to come to Baltimore at some point in 2012.

Casilla comes to Charm City off a year in Minnesota where he hit .241 and got on base at a .282 clip over 106 games. He added 17 doubles and a home run, but his 21 stolen bases and .980 fielding position have been the saving grace for those applauding the acquisition.

I won’t mix words here. I don’t think much of the addition of Alexi Casilla. I would have preferred the Orioles acquire an actual legitimate major league second baseman this offseason, not another player to add into the mix with some hope it might actually work out. I’m aware the free agent market isn’t particularly deep at second base (Marco Scutaro, Kelly Johnson and Jeff Keppinger stand out), but I’d prefer someone from that group to a “by committee” scenario.

It’s further concerning because it reinforces the idea that the O’s aren’t going to suddenly become the “sleeping giants” of the offseason the way some (including ESPN’s Buster Olney) have suggested.

I instead believe it further reinforces what Dan Duquette said back in May during the press conference to announce OF Adam Jones’ six year contract extension. When our own Luke Jones asked if the $85.5 million deal was a sign that the team was more willing to spend money in free agency, Duquette declared “I don’t think the way to build a team is through free agency.”

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4 Comments For This Post

  1. eric Says:

    Duquette showed us his blue print last offseason. Trades, foreign market and 2nd tier free agents while hoping the young players continue to improve. The key to 2012 were the moves Duq made during the season. Will be interesting to see if he can pull that off again.

  2. eric Says:

    Also I’m sure MASN employees would point out the run differential would have been different with a full season of Machado,McLouth,Gonzalez,Tillman and Britton. I believe it was +50 from Aug 1st on.

    (Edit from Glenn: Which is totally fair, but you have to be willing to accept that group will DEFINITELY pan out over a full season. I could argue on the flip side that Reimold was better than McLouth but the run differential wasn’t quite as good.)

  3. eric Says:

    That’s fair too Glenn but the main problem with the O’s was Arrieta,Matusz and Hunter pitching 3 of every 5 games from April-June. The biggest question for me is can Tillman,Gonzalez and Chen pitch as well or better than they did this year? If the answer is no then I don’t think it matters what we do this offseason we’ll be an 80 win team.

  4. eric Says:

    Also if they give Betemit consistent playing time then you can really rip this team for it’s offseason approach. He should be a one day a week DH at most.

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