There’s enough speed in this 7 horse field to set things up nicely for this 4 year old who can sit off a hot pace. At 9-5 Morning Line he’s the 2nd choice. The 8-5 favorite (# 1) is a 3 year old making his first start versus his elders. This early in the year, I don’t like betting 3 year olds against 4 year olds because they are still maturing and often cannot compete in races not restricted to 3 year olds. Hence, I feel the favorite is vulnerable.
One race day down, 26 more to go. Our initial $20 wager returned $34, so now we “Let It Ride”.
SHOW Parlay Play of the Day: $34 on Lotsa Ileana (# 1/1A; 1st race; 7-5)
Sorry, this one is too good to pass up. Not because it’s a two-horse entry in a 7 horse field. Not because this entry is 7-5 Morning Line. It’s because both parts of the entry have a very good chance to finish “in the money”. If this occurs, the SHOW payoff could be $3.00. How?! Because the SHOW pool will only need to be distributed between two betting interests, the #1/#1A entry and the other horse who finishes 1st, 2nd or 3rd. If only one of the two (Lotsa Ileana or #1A, Aly’s Colors) manage to finish at least 3rd, then the SHOW payoff will likely be a poultry $2.10. It’s a risk, but it’s a 5% return. On paper, Lotsa Ileana is actually the weaker part of the entry, so I really wouldn’t mind if the trainer scratches Aly’s Colors. Then the betting public wouldn’t be so hot on Lotsa Ileana and her odds would be more generous (probably 5-2). If this were a one foot putt on the golf course it would be “Gimme”. Unfortunately, there are no gimme’s in horse racing, but we’ll take our chances with this one.