Pimlico: Selections for Sunday (Day 4)

April 20, 2008 | Gary Quill

You couldn’t have asked for more perfect weather than there was during the first three days of the Pimlico Spring Meet. Thanks to Mother Nature, it looked as if a number of people decided that a day at the races wasn’t such a bad idea.
With that being said, the forecast for Sunday isn’t too promising. The threat of rain showers throughout the day will in all likelihood move races scheduled on the turf to the main track. That action is typically followed by a large number of scratches which throws a wrench into handicapping the card.     
Recapping Day 3 (April 19th)…
Best Bet, Icabad Crane (# 3; 9th race – Federico Tesio; 8-1) WON by a neck in a thrilling stretch duel. But as I expected, was bet down to 9-5, paying $5.80. The only surprise was how much he was bet. No complaints… it’s a winner!  
Longshot, Rasser (# 4; 1st race; 8-1) never got involved in the race, putting in the worst effort (7th) of her career.   
SHOW Parlay Play of the Day, $34 on Wildress Trace (# 3; 10th race; 4-1) was a wise choice. Appears many people believe in Karamanos on the turf, as his mount was sent off at even money. She got beat (for the win) a length and a half by a first time starter (15-1). Even with a large field (11) and a price horse winning, the SHOW payoff on Wildress Trace was on the low side ($2.60). One should not complain. We added $10.20 to our SHOW parlay bankroll and are still alive. 
Here’s what I like for the Day 4 (Apr. 20th) of the Pimlico Spring Meet…
Best Bet:         Something Dixie (# 5; 5th race; 9-5)

Trainer Michael Trombetta and jockey Julian Pimentel when teamed up get to the Winner’s Circle nearly 30% of the time. Add the fact that the other 7 trainers in this race have combined for less victories than Trombetta alone. So rain or shine, turf or main track, I give the edge to Something Dixie.       

Longshot:        Story Of A Lion (# 7; 7th race; 15-1)
I’m going to guess that this race will be taken off the turf due to the weather conditions. If so, Story Of A Lion has good “Off” track bloodlines (Two Punch) to be a threat here.

SHOW Parlay available bankroll: $124.20 

SHOW Parlay Play of the Day: $44 on Cape Codder (# 5; 2nd race; 8-5)

Not knowing whether races will be run on the turf or guessing if the main track will be fast or sloppy or muddy, I feel this is the safest bet. Cape Codder is a standout on a fast track, and that shouldn’t change even on an “Off” track (i.e. sloppy or muddy track). His sire (Waquoit) was at his best on an “Off” track. So we’ll put the pressure on him to keep our initial SHOW parlay alive going into Thursday’s (Day 5) card.

Good Luck with your selections today!