2009 College Football preseason Top 25 and Bowl Projections

August 23, 2009 |

 

   Since most on this board will be focused on the Ravens, I’ve decided to use my blog mostly to talk College Sports. Since the college football season is now less than two weeks away, I will begin to make some projections and predictions on the season. Once the season begins I will post games of the week, Heisman projections, etc. For now I will preview the coming season. I am premiering my unofficial WNST Top 25 today. Over the next week I will publish a preview and analysis for each 1-A conference and the 1-AA conferences of Towson and Morgan. But today will have a national focus.

            

                                        LAWSON LAMBERT’s TOP 25

                            (for comparison sake the AP ranking is in parentheses)

1.     Oklahoma             (3)

2.    Florida                     (1)

3.     USC                            (4)

4.    Texas                        (2)

5.     Alabama                (5)

6.      Ohio St.                 (6)

7.       Mississippi        (8)

8.       Oklahoma St.    (9)

9.      Georgia                  (13)

10.    Oregon                    (16)

11.       Florida St.            (18)

12.      LSU                           (11)

13.     Illinois                     (27)

14.     California              (12)

15.      Boise St.                  (14)

16       Penn St.                   (9)

17.     Georgia Tech        (15)

18.      Virginia Tech       (7)

19.      South Florida        (45)

20.      BYU                             (20)

21.        Notre Dame           (23)

22.       Kansas                       (25)

23.     West Virginia           (32)

24.     Michigan St.             (29)

25.         TCU                             (17)

 

        As you can see I went against the grain and picked Oklahoma number one. I think they and Florida are evenly matched. Last year in the NC game, Oklahoma was driving in the 4th quarter to take the lead when Florida DB Ahmad Black made one of the best defensive plays in a big game, EVER. I always give the edge the next season to the loser. Oklahoma will have something to prove all year, especially against Texas, and I think they do it. Of course I wouldn’t be surprised if Florida wins again.

      The teams I have vastly different than the AP poll are Illinois and South Florida on the high side. I think the Illini will bounce back in a big way this year in Juice Williams final season. And the AP poll has no Big East team in the Top 25, but whichever Big East team goes 6-1 in conference and 9-3 overall will be ranked. I say that team will be South Florida. On the downside I ranked Penn State and Virginia Tech lower than the AP. I think Penn State is just not as good as they were last year and will be too dependent on Darryl Clark; and Va tech is just so vanilla on offense that I think they will be unable to avoid a couple of losses. I like Boise St, BYU, and TCU to all have fine seasons, but I think they will all stub their toe at least once, so therefore no BCS Buster this year. Utah was cheated last season, but they lost too much and are probably only the third best team in their own conference this year, so I have them unranked.

          Here is my early projection of the bowl games you will be seeing this coming holiday season.

New Mexico Bowl-       Nevada vs. Colorado St.

St. Petersburg Bowl-    Rutgers vs. Southern Miss

New Orleans Bowl-     Troy    vs.  Tulsa

Las Vegas Bowl-           BYU   vs.  Arizona St.

Poinsettia Bowl-        Arizona vs. TCU

Hawaii Bowl-        Boise St.  vs. East Carolina

Emerald Bowl-     UCLA    vs.    NC State

Meineke Car Care Bowl-    Clemson vs. West Virginia

Motor City Bowl-   Minnesota  vs.  Western Michigan

Music City Bowl-   Auburn vs. Miami (FL)

Independence Bowl-  Kentucky  vs. Texas Tech

Champs Sports Bowl-   Iowa  vs. North Carolina

Eagle Bank Bowl-  Maryland  vs. Louisiana Tech

Holiday Bowl-           California   vs. Kansas

Humanitarian Bowl-  Fresno St.  vs.    Utah

Texas Bowl-          Navy   vs.  Missouri

Armed Forces Bowl-    Air Force  vs.  UTEP

Sun Bowl-               Oregon St.   vs.  Baylor

Insight Bowl-       Wisconsin  vs.   Nebraska

Chick Fil-A Bowl-   South Carolina  vs. Georgia Tech

Outback Bowl-      Michigan St.   vs.   Mississippi

Capital One Bowl-     Penn St.   vs.   Georgia

Gator Bowl-            Virginia Tech  vs.  Notre Dame

Cotton Bowl-         LSU   vs.    Oklahoma St.

Liberty Bowl-          Houston vs. Tennessee

International Bowl-    Cincinnati vs.  Bowling Green

PapaJohns Bowl-     Pittsburgh    vs.  Florida Atlantic

Alamo Bowl-          Michigan   vs.   Colorado

GMAC Bowl-           Central Michigan   vs.  Wake Forest

                                           BCS GAMES

Orange Bowl-      Florida St.  vs.  Illinois

Sugar Bowl-        Alabama   vs.  South Florida

Rose Bowl-             USC  vs.  Ohio State

Fiesta Bowl-          Texas  vs.  Oregon

National Championship-     Oklahoma   vs.  Florida

       Next up:   Big East and Conference USA analysis

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