Pimlico Selections for Friday May 1st & Derby Talk

May 01, 2009 | Gary Quill

The Friday before the Kentucky Derby is a special day for the city of Louisville. On this day the locals along with their out-of-town guests enjoy a day at the races which features the Kentucky Oaks, the female version of the Derby where some of the best 3 year old fillies in the country come to compete. Close to 100,000 fans will be on hand Friday and allowed on the infield at Churchill Downs. Considering Preakness 2009 will usher in the new infield rules, maybe MJC should open the infield on Friday May 15th aka Black-Eyed Susan Day? After all, the clean-up should take less time.

Listen to Nestor’s show Friday afternoon, as I’ll be in studio (5-6 pm) discussing the Derby. Saturday’s blog will feature my analysis and predicted order of finish for all 20 Derby starters. Post Time for the Derby is scheduled for 6:24pm and will be televised on NBC. 

Recapping Pimlico Spring Meet, Day 7 (Thursday, April 30th)…

Best Bet Pilanesberg (# 2; 5th race on the turf; 2-1) nearly ran a carbon-copy of his first turf outing, as he sprinted to the early lead but couldn’t negotiate the turn and bolted at the 3/8 pole bad enough to eliminate himself from contention, then proceeded to run wide and faded to a seventh place finish.

Longshot Speed Bump (# 3; 3rd race; 42-1) early speed was unchallenged until she got caught by the eventual winner nearing the stretch and was beaten by a neck for the runner-up position as the longest shot on the board. Her backers got rewarded with a $6.00 SHOW payout in the small field of 7.

SHOW Parlay Play of the Day, $20 on Tiger Fever (# 10; 7th race 5-1) was a prudent selection as she displayed her liking for the Pimlico grass course and quickly sprinted to the lead which she did not surrender until the final strides before the wire, paying $5.80 and $3.60. That’s a $16 profit to start the 2nd round of the SHOW parlay at the Pimlico Spring Meet.

For the Pimlico Spring Meet, Day 8 (Friday, May 1st)…

Best Bet: Court Band (# 2; 1st race; 10-1)

Pretty steep odds for a “Best Bet” but in this entire 9 race card, this race stands out because Court Band is the only runner of the 6 in this $5k Starter Allowance contest that does not need to be on or near the lead to win. He gets apprentice jockey Joe Musarro who appears to be a rising star on the Maryland racing circuit.

Longshot: Fine Shine (# 3; 9th race on the turf; 20-1)

Owns the Best Brisnet Speed figure (104) of this group for lifetime turf outings and has run admirably on the grass at a much higher level. This 7 year old is only 2 for 27 lifetime but 1 for 7 on the grass with a second and third as well. On the negative side today’s distance (1 mile) is 2 furlongs further than he usually runs, but he has always finished well indicating he might relish the added distance.

SHOW Parlay available bankroll: $96.60 ($80.60 bankroll – $20 wager + $36.00 return)

SHOW Parlay Play of the Day: $36 on Safety Valve (# 5; 4th race 3-1)

This Rodney Jenkins first-time starter sports a nice schedule of well timed workouts. He was purchased for $165k at the Fasig-Tipton May 2008 auction, so hopefully he was worth it. Hitting the board in his debut would work for the parlay sake.

Let’s hope Day 8 will be another beautiful day to enjoy the exciting chase scenes thoroughbred horse racing has to offer. Good Luck!