Anticipated Preakness odds and “Where are all the Preakness horses?”

May 16, 2011 | Gary Quill

Updated: May 17th 11:43am… Nehro (2nd in Derby) will not run in Preakness. Isn’t He Perfect  draws into 14 horse field. Predicted odds will be updated in next blog.

 

It was Monday morning of Preakness Week, there I stood just outside of Stall 40 of the Pimlico Stakes Barn. It was a perfect spot to see the Derby winner, who usually occupies Stall 40. But it was empty. Derby winner Animal Kingdom is being stabled at his temporary home, the Fair Hill Training Center located about an hour northeast of Old Hilltop. There he will stay until Friday afternoon or even Saturday morning.

 

No problem. There are two (2) other local colts who will attempt to pull off a Preakness upset as did Deputed Testamony (1983) and Bee Bee Bee (1972). They are Norman Asbjornson (4th in the Wood Memorial) and Concealed Identity (won the Federico Tesio Stakes). But couldn’t find them on the Pimlico grounds, both are stabled at the Bowie Training Center and have completed their workouts over the Pimlico dirt oval this past weekend and won’t be vanned back up to Pimlico until race day.

 

OK. That’s only 3 of 14 potential runners. The other 11 are all from out of town and surely have arrived by now, right? Wrong. The entire Stakes Barn, reserved for Preakness runners and a few others who will run in other stakes races on Friday and/or Saturday, is empty. Like a beachfront hotel at Ocean City, MD in mid-January. So where are they?

  Preakness 136 logo

 

Mucho Macho Man, King Congie and Isn’t He Perfect have been training at Belmont Park. “King” will be vanned down on Friday, “Mucho” may not arrive at Pimlico until race day and “Perfect” needs at least 2 horses to defect as he’s #15 on the earnings list, so he’ll wait until at least the Draw (Wednesday evening). The rest of the runners have been training in Kentucky (Churchill Downs and Keeneland) and California (Hollywood Park or Santa Anita). All are expected to arrive late in the day on Wednesday, which include Derby participants Nehro (2nd), Shackleford (4th), Dialed In (8th), Midnight Interlude (16th) and some new shooters Astrology, Dance City, Flashpoint, Mr. Commons, and Sway Away.       

 

Therefore, it will be pretty lonely around the Stakes Barn until Thursday morning, just one day for the hard-core horse racing types with credentials (like myself) to talk to trainers, exercise riders and stable help about their horse. Then on Friday is the “media circus”. Every networks local station plus the Kentucky and New York affiliates, along with throngs of print media will be hovering around the Stakes Barn like a pack of wild dogs ready to pounce on an unattended meat wagon.

 

Unfortunately for them, the meat wagon (aka Derby winner & trainer) is at Fair Hill. So it will be interesting to see if the “normal crowd” shows on Friday morning. If they do, odds are they’ll gravitate to Bob Baffert, the only recognizable figure (in their minds) thanks to his silver hair and ever-present sunglasses.           

 

 

The Derby winner always takes heavy action from the Preakness crowd and casual bettors across the country because the majority of them want to see a Triple Crown winner so bad, they won’t bet against it. Also, local horses are typically bet down to odds lower than they would be if the race was run somewhere other than in Maryland. Without knowing who will be entered and/or who might get in off “the bubble”, below are the top 14 eligible runners along with my predicted Post Time odds…       

 

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

GQ odds

Animal Kingdom

John Velazquez

H. Graham Motion

5-2

Nehro

Corey Nakatani

Steven M. Asmussen

7-2

Dialed In

Julien Leparoux

Nicholas P. Zito

4-1

Mucho Macho Man

Rajiv Maragh

Kathy P. Ritvo

5-1

Dance City

Ramon Dominguez

Todd A. Pletcher

8-1

Shackleford

Jesus Castanon

Dale Romans

11-1

Midnight Interlude

Martin Garcia

Bob Baffert

12-1

Flashpoint

Cornelio Velasquez

Wesley Ward

14-1

Astrology

Mike Smith

Steven M. Asmussen

15-1

Sway Away

Garrett Gomez

Jeff Bonde

16-1

Norman Asbjornson

Julian Pimentel

Christopher Grove

18-1

King Congie

Robby Albarado

Thomas Albertrani

22-1

Mr. Commons

Victor Espinoza

John Shirreffs

24-1

Concealed Identity

Sheldon Russell

Edmond Gaudet

25-1

 

Others who want to run but will need a defection from any of those listed above are…

Isn’t He Perfect and Saratoga Red

 

Monday morning marked to final serious workouts for any Preakness starter. As for the remainder of the week, each will simply visit the track for a light jog around the track to stretch their legs and keep them fit. It’s weird how none of the out of town Preakness starters will workout over the Pimlico dirt oval, just gallop over it.    

 

Preakness workouts on Sunday morning…

                Saratoga Red         CD    5f   my  breezing       1:02.80

                Dance City             CD    5f   gd   breezing       1:00.20

                King Congie           Bel    5f   fst   breezing (d)  1:04.65

 

Preakness workouts on Monday morning…

                Nehro                           CD   4f   sy   breezing        :50.80

                Astrology                     CD   4f   sy   breezing        :51.60

                Midnight Interlude    CD   3f   sy   breezing        :35.60 

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