Breeders’ Cup Act I: Selections for the Six Exciting Chase Scenes on Friday

November 01, 2012 | Gary Quill

G1 BC Juvenile Fillies Turf – 1 mile – $1,000,000 (SA – Race 6; 5:28pm EDT)

#1 – Kitten’s Point (12-1)
#2 – Summer of Fun (30-1)
#3 – Sky Lantern (IRE) (3-1)
#4 – Flotilla (FR) (8-1)
#5 – Spring Venture (5-1)
#6 – Watsdachances (IRE) (4-1)
#7 – Oscar Party (20-1)
#8 – Tara from the Cape (12-1)
#9 – Nancy O (IRE) (30-1)
#10 – Waterway Run (10-1)
#11 – Moonwalk (20-1)
#12 – The Gold Chenongsam (IRE) (20-1)
#13 – Flashy Ways (s) (10-1)
#14 – Sustained *** SCRATCHED ***
#15 – Infanta Branca (15-1)
#16 (AE) – Moulin de Mougin *** SCRATCHED ***

(s) – Supplemental Entry (AE) – Also Eligible, will run only if others scratch

This event features 14 potential future female turf stars in horse racing. Most of these 2 year olds only have a couple career races under their belt (er uh, bridle), but have already flashed greatness. The filly with the most experience is Irish-bred #12 – The Gold Chenongsam having raced 7 times, all in Great Britain.

Horse to Watch: #10 – Waterway Run has 3 wins from 4 starts, all across the pond despite being a PA bred son of Arch. His Timeform ratings are a slight notch below the M/L favorite’s (Sky Lantern), yet when comparing “like races” between the two, Waterway Run has much better times (see August races at Newmarket going 7f on good turf).

Fact: This is the 5th running of this event. All four (4) winners have been KY bred and raced in the USA. This year seven (7) of the fourteen (14) starters are KY bred, as well as the two Also Eligibles (AE).

GQ’s pick: #13 – Flashy Ways, #3 – Sky Lantern (IRE), #6 – Watsdachances

G1 BC Grey Goose Juvenile Fillies – 1 1/16 mile (Dirt) – $2,000,000 (SA – Race 7; 6:08pm)

#1 – Beholder (5-2)
#2 – Executiveprivilege (2-1)
#3 – Spring in the Air (15-1)
#4 – Renee’s Queen (30-1)
#5 – Dreaming of Julia (5-2)
#6 – Almost An Angel (30-1)
#7 – Broken Spell (15-1)
#8 – Kauai Katie (3-1)

In the first 26 runnings of this race, the winner never became a superstar. You won’t find names like Zenyatta or Rachel Alexandra, 2 of the most famous female thoroughbreds in recent memory, on the list of winners. But the tide may have changed as the past two winners (Awesome Feather in ’10 and My Miss Aurelia in ’12) have blossomed into very nice fillies and will compete in this years Ladies Classic.

Horses to Watch: Stonestreet Stable owns #5 – Dreaming of Julia and #8 – Kauai Katie. Both are a perfect 3 for 3, and like to be on the early lead. Something has got to give! One would think that Todd Pletcher (trainer of both) tweaked one of them to rate better so they don’t kill each other in a speed duel. Only time will tell.

Fact: Favorites have won this race 61% of the time, the highest percentage among Breeders’ Cup races.

GQ’s pick: #2 – Executiveprivilege, #3 – Spring in the Air, #5 – Dreaming of Julia

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5 Comments For This Post

  1. Gozer Says:

    2 days of SuperBowl of racing – can’t wait

  2. Michael Says:

    Ceiling Kitty is definitely the horse to watch. In addition to Johnny V., the horse is the only one to never use/race on Lasix and this year, Lasix is prohibited in this race.

  3. Gary Quill Says:

    Life is Good… hopefully we can make some $$$ along the way.

  4. Gary Quill Says:

    Michael; On Thursday A.M. Millie Ball (HRTV) reported the trainer wanted to test her breaking from the gate, with bell sounding as gate opened. She broke “awfully slow”. Not a good sign in a sprint.

  5. Michael Says:

    Thanks Gary! Great information. Looking at the Marathon, I like Almudena. Let’s make some $$$$$!

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