The first two days of the Timonium State Fair Meet has been pretty unpredictable, which is terrific. There are horses winning at very long odds (50-1) and very short odds (1-5). In years past, you could see an entire race day card go without seeing a winner pay more than $8.00 to win on a $2 bet.
The track appears to be in great condition, trainers are bringing in horses thanks to $10,000 in bonus money for the 7-Day meets top trainers and there is a vast colony of jockeys willing to ride in the “Bull Ring”. Life is good at the Timonium Fairgrounds for live racing in 2010.
Recapping Day 2 (Saturday 27th) selections at the Timonium State Fair Meet…
Best Bet Crafty Son (# 6; 10th race; 5-2) failed to get running in the 4 furlong sprint and picked a bad day to lay a an egg, gaining no ground in the stretch.
Best Bet pick scorecard from 2 selection at the Timonium Meet: 1 WIN – 0 PLACE – 0 SHOW.
Longshot Barb Cat (# 4; 4th race; 12-1) broke alertly, but as soon as he failed to vie for the lead, that indicated a less than stellar performance. He stalked the leaders, but weakened when entering the final furlong.
Longshot pick scorecard from 2 selection at the Timonium Meet: 1 WIN – 0 PLACE – 0 SHOW
SHOW Parlay Play of the Day, $20 on Mr. Blu Boy (# 7; 5th race; 12-1) did not disappoint has he was good enough to hit the board (3rd) for the 10th time in 15 starts, even though he’s still seeking his maiden victory. He may still be a maiden, but the SHOW Parlay broke from the maiden ranks cashing in on the 3rd place effort, as the SHOW payoff was $2.80, adding $8 to the initial $20 bet for Day 3.
For the Timonium State Fair Meet, Day 3 (Sunday, August 29th)…
Best Bet: Sagaredgo (# 5; 7th race; 2-1)
In this 4 furlong race for non-winnners of 2 races, the key is whoever can get the early jump on his competition will pretty much get to the Winner’s Circle. Looking at the 2 and 4 furlong split times that this 3 year old daughter of Smoke Glacken can run, there are no other fillys in this race that can come close to these fractions. Be prepared to see 3-5 odds. If so, put $10 to WIN on her so you can buy a cold beverage with your winnings.
Longshot: Princess Quatorze (# 1; 4th race; 15-1)
Looking at her last 2 races, one can understand why she’s 15-1 Morning Line. On the surface, both appear to be dull efforts. Look again, the most recent race was against the boys plus she was squeezed and steadied at the start. For a mare with a front running style, the race was over seconds into it. The race before that, she was in over her head. The Claiming price today is $7,500. In races close to this level ($5k), she has 2 wins and a second going ½ furlong further, which she’s better going today’s shorter (4 f.) distance. She has 2 quick A.M. drills since her last race that tells me she is sound.
SHOW Parlay available bankroll: $88 ($80 bankroll – $20 wager + $28 return)
SHOW Parlay Play of the Day: $28 on Halton (# 1; 6th race; 7-2) has been making some nice coin in 2010. In 6 starts this 5 year old gelding has 2 wins and 4 seconds. In fact, in his entire racing career he has only failed to finish in the top 3 when running on dirt, 3 times in 17 starts. He hasn’t run since late May, but that should not factor into the likelihood that he’ll be right there in the end and return more than $2.10 to SHOW.
For more of my selections at Timonium and other thoroughbred horse racing tracks across the country, go to… GQ’s No Chalk Zone
Looks like Day 3 will be another beautiful day to enjoy the exciting chase scenes thoroughbred horse racing has to offer at the State Fair. Good Luck!