Pimlico Day 13 – Analysis and Selections

May 08, 2010 | Gary Quill

One week prior to the 135th running of the Preakness Stakes we discovered that two (2) Derby participants, Noble’s Promise and Conveyance, will not run. Aikenite, second in the Derby Trial will be ridden by Javier Castellano, who piloted Bernardini to victory in the 2006 Preakness. A full field of 14 is still anticipated to break from the Preakness starting gate on May 15th.

 

Recapping Day 12 (Friday, May 7th)…at the Pimlico Spring Meet…

 

Best Bet Louann’s Boot  (# 2; 8th  race; 4-5) was the overwhelming betting choice, but could not carry her speed the entire race as she was challenged mid-race and weakened in the final furlong, mustering a runner-up finish, returning $2.80 PLACE and $2.20 to SHOW.

Best Bet pick scorecard from 8 selections at the Pimlico Meet: 1 WIN – 4 PLACE – 1 SHOW.


Longshot Snazzy Jazzy  (# 4; 6th race; 3-1) broke alerting, tracking the leaders for the first 2 furlongs, but suddenly dropped back at the quarter pole and tragically collapsed. Thankfully, word from the stable is that he bled, his lungs filled with so much blood he passed out. He should make a full recovery but will need a vacation before returning to training. When rare situations like this one takes place, ones feelings for these beautiful animals outweigh the wagering aspect of this sport.   

Longshot pick scorecard from 9 selections at the Pimlico Meet: 1 WIN – 0 PLACE – 1 SHOW

 

SHOW Parlay Play of the Day$176 on Wachacha (# 4; 1st race; 2-1) was the betting public second choice but the first under the wire, taking over the early leaders in deep stretch, paying $6.40 to WIN, $3.20 for the PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW, increasing the parlay amount to $185.20 and extend the streak to 9 days to “Let It Ride” on Day 13.

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For the Pimlico Spring Meet, Day 13 (Saturday, May 8th)…

 

Best Bet:  Nature’s Express  (# 6; 4th  race; 7-2)

 

He made his 2010 debut in a 5 furlong turf race at Pimlico, finishing 5th. Today this 4 year old returns to the dirt going an extra eighth, drops to his lowest claiming level ($15k) and 4 of his 5 competitors are 3 year olds. During the early Spring 3 year olds rarely do well against their elders. Additionally, he fits the “horses for courses” category as he’s 1-0-2 in 4 starts on the Pimlico dirt oval.           

 

Longshot:  Big Boper (# 4; 7th race; 8-1)

 

The race is for “Non-Winners of 2 Lifetime”. This 4 year olds only victory came on the turf as he is bred to run on the turf, BUT has competed at this level ($7,500) on the dirt. Taking the “turf-to-dirt” angle and fact his Speed Figures continue to improve makes him worth a shot at 5-1 or higher. 

 

SHOW Parlay available bankroll: $245.65  ($236.85 bankroll – $176 wager + $184.80 return)

 

SHOW Parlay Play of the Day:  $185 on Mississippi Storm  (# 5; 2nd  race; 9-5) exits a 5 furlong turf race where he was “no factor”. This 7 year old has earned his keep on the grass but has hit the board in 8 of his 11 lifetime dirt track races. He’s in for the “bottom of the barrel” ($5k Claimer) tag, which is where he runs his best, plus at his age it is doubtful he’ll be pulled from the Claiming Box. So the thought is the trainer is just trying to get him back on track and earn some money.     

 

Looks like Day 13 will be a beautiful one with sunny skies, so enjoy the exciting chase scenes thoroughbred horse racing has to offer.

 

IMPORTANT: I will not be posting a blog for the Pimlico Sunday card as I am travelling to the “Jersey Shore” to spend Mother’s Day with my Mom.  

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