Tag Archive | "138th Preakness Stakes"

Preakness 138: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

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Preakness 138: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly

Posted on 23 May 2013 by Gary Quill

Preakness Funnie with Crab
Drawing courtesy of Mel @dailyracefunies. To see more of Mel’s work, click here.

The Good:

The Preakness is back! The fourth largest crowd (117,203) in Preakness history discounted the possibility of rain showers in return for the best entertainment value of the year. Fans from the Grandstand rushed the Infield when Macklemore and Ryan Lewis took to the stage early afternoon. And that was just for starters as Pitbull brought energy to the Infield would have blown the roof off, if there was one that covered Pimlico.

NBC reported their Preakness show garnered a 5.4 rating and 14 share. That represented a 6% increase from year-ago.

The Bad:

Kentucky Derby winner Orb, sent off as the prohibitive 3-5 favorite finished a disappointing 4th, to extend the Triple Crown drought another year.

Maserati’s decision to sponsor Orb for an undisclosed amount of money. Not only was riding the wave of the potential Triple Crown winner a short one, but Orb may pass on the next nationally televised horse race, the Belmont Stakes on June 8th.

The Ugly:

GQ’s selections. Only hitting 2 Top Picks on the 13-race card, both of those paid less than even money. After providing the winner in each of the first 3 races, misfired on the next 4 then finished up the last 6 races naming 4 winners, including Preakness winner Oxbow ($32.80) but failed to connect on the Exacta, which could have turned the “ugly” betting day into a “salvageable” one.

Horse players complaining about how the Pimlico dirt surface looked like crap and that the times were slow due to track maintenance dumping excess water on it on a rainy day. Hmmm, maybe they should just re-examine their own handicapping skills?

 

Best Preakness Quote: “I get paid to spoil dreams.” – D. Wayne Lukas, during press conference after his 15-1 longshot Oxbow won the Preakness Stakes.

Best Line Overheard : “A car you will never own.” – a Dad to his young daughter who asked “What’s a Maserati?” upon seeing Orb sporting his new saddlecloth.

 

If Oxbow’s win in the Preakness left you scratching your head asking, “How does a 15-1 longshot manage to win… so easily?” Click here for MY answer.

 

Frankie Lovato’s JockeyWorld.org racing term of the day is #144… “Handicapper

Recapping Pimlico’s Preakness Day selections 13-race card were quite pathetic, only posting 7 winners (2 Top Selections in BOLD type) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $5.40 (1st race), $3.40 (2nd), $7.40 (3rd), $5.20 (8th), $6.60 (10th), $32.80 (12th) and $2.60 (13th).

The BEST BET (26 10-4-3) Marataya’s Tune (R5 #14 5-2 PT; 9-2 M/L) appeared to be “lone speed” in here, and apparently I wasn’t the only one that noticed as she went off the 5-2 betting choice. Even though she cruised on the front end by herself, the fractions she set were not soft enough to carry her gate to wire, as she yielded to two foes in mid-stretch, returning $3.60 to SHOW.

The LONGSHOT PICK (26 5-1-2) Embarr (R9 #6 12-1 PT; 15-1 M/L) was never involved in this contest. No other description is needed beyond the single word that sums up a poor performance, “Outrun”. For the record she finished 6th.

Selections for Pimlico’s Friday, May 24th card will be on Page 2.

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Preakness Day: Analysis of Preakness 138 and Selections for all 13 races

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Preakness Day: Analysis of Preakness 138 and Selections for all 13 races

Posted on 18 May 2013 by Gary Quill

Preakness Funnie with Crab
Drawing courtesy of Mel @dailyracefunies. To see more of Mel’s work, click here.

For the fourth consecutive year, Black-Eyed Susan Day at Pimlico, was filled with plenty of sunshine and warm hearts as it was the 4th annual People’s Pink Party, featuring the Lady Legends race which pitted eight retired female jockeys against one another. It was the 4th race on the card, won by Mary Russ-Tortora aboard Haywired, in gate to wire fashion.

What a proud moment for the Maryland Jockey Club (MJC) and everyone who had a hand in pulling it off and making such a generous donation as Pimlico made a donation of $27,507 to the Komen Maryland affiliate, equal to the amount wagered to win on Haywired.

The Preakness Day forecast for the Baltimore-metropolitan area calls for most cloudy skies, with …plenty of sunshine, clear skies and a fast track. There are 13 races on the card. The $1,000,000 Preakness Stakes is the 12th race, with approximate Post Time 6:20pm EDT, with 1st race Post Time 10:45am.

Below I offer my opinions on all 13 races, but I’ll start with the Main Event. Here’s how I see the 138th running of the Preakness Stakes playing out, listed in my predicted order of finish. Odds shown are the current betting odds after Friday’s advanced wagering.

1st – # 1 Orb (4-5) sealed the deal as a legitimate threat to become the first Triple Crown winner in 34 years after outing in his final tune-up over the Belmont Park dirt surface on Monday. It was a work that on paper looked to be too fast (4 furlongs in 47), but according to his exercise rider it felt like they went about 3 seconds slower because he did it so easily. The confidence level in this colt is sky high.

2nd – # 4 Departing (11-1) is just one of three in this field that did not run in the Kentucky Derby. Often “new shooters” are a welcomed new edition as fresh prey, but this one has a legitimate shot at winning as prior to his Illinois Derby (his last race) victory, finished a strong 3rd in the Louisiana Derby, just a few lengths behind Mylute. Thus, he’s an improving colt that still has not yet peaked.

3rd – # 6 Oxbow (14-1) appearance on the track in the mornings of Preakness Week were nothing short of indicating the Derby took nothing out of him. Considering he was responsible for being part of one of the fastest early fraction times recorded for the Kentucky Derby

4th – # 5 Mylute (7-1) will require Rosie Napravnik to wait at least another year to fulfill her Preakness victory dream. Even though it seems that the key the his reversal of form appears to have been the removing of “Blinkers”, his late move in deep stretch might find him to run out of real estate, when he comes flying late in deep stretch.

The remainder of runners are predicted to finish as follows…

5th – # 9 Itsmyluckyday (9-1)
6th – # 7 Will Take Charge (12-1)
7th – # 2 Goldencents (7-1)
8th – # 8 Govenor Charlie (11-1)
9th – # 3 Titletown Five (23-1)

Based on my analysis of the Preakness, I’ll play…

$2 EXACTA BOX on # 1 (Orb), # 4 (Departing), # 5 (Mylute), # 6 (Oxbow)  cost: $24

$1 TRIFECTA PART-WHEEL #1, #5, #6, #9 with #4 (Departing) in 2nd spot with #1, #5, #6, #9  cost: $20

Frankie Lovato’s JockeyWorld.org racing term of the day is #138… “Groom

Selections for the 12 other races on the Preakness Day card at Pimlico are on Page 2

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Orb Draws #1 Post as 1-1 M/L Favorite in Preakness Field of 9

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Orb Draws #1 Post as 1-1 M/L Favorite in Preakness Field of 9

Posted on 15 May 2013 by Gary Quill

Orb, winner of the Kentucky Derby will break from the #9 hole has been listed as the prohibitive 6-5 Morning Line for the 138th running of the Preakness Stakes.

Early evening on Wednesday the Post Positions were drawn for Saturday’s 138th running of the Preakness Stakes. A field of 9 will break from the starting gate on Saturday at approximately 6:18pm for this 1 3/16 mile middle jewel of the Triple Crown. Below is how they’ll line-up in the starting gate, along with track oddsmaker Frank Carulli’s Morning Line and what I (G.Q.) predict will be the Post Time odds…

PP

HORSE

SILKS

JOCKEY

TRAINER

M/L

G.Q.

1.

Orb

Janney silks

Joel Rosario

Shug McGaughey

1-1

3-5

2.

Goldencents

WC Racing silks

Kevin Krigger

Doug O’Neill

8-1

9-1

3.

Titletown Five

GB5 silks

Julien Leparoux

D. Wayne Lukas

30-1 33-1

4.

Departing

Claiborne silks

Brian Hernandez

Al Stall, Jr.

6-1

7-1

5.

Mylute

Gold Mark silks

Rosie Napravnik

Tom Amoss

5-1

7-1

6.

Oxbow

Calumet silks

Gary Stevens

D. Wayne Lukas

15-1

14-1

7.

Will Take Charge

Horton silks

Mike Smith

D. Wayne Lukas

12-1

13-1

8.

Govenor Charlie

Pegram silks

Martin Garcia

Bob Baffert

12-1

9-1

9.

Itsmyluckyday

Fipke silks

John Velazquez

Eddie Plesa, Jr.

10-1

12-1

Preakness Funnie with Crab

Drawing courtesy of Mel @dailyracefunies. To see more of Mel’s work, click here.

Recapping Pimlico Day 24 selections from Sunday’s 10-race card posted 7 winners (5 Top Selections in BOLD type) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $2.80 (1st race), $8.80 (3rd), $2.40 (4th), $10.60 (5th), $4.80 (6th), $5.60 (7th) and $2.60 (9th).

The BEST BET (23 9-4-2) Tell Me a Story (R9 #2 1-5 PT; 8-5 M/L) the plethora of scratches on the Sunday card absolutely destroyed the price on this Sagamore Farm runner. She saved ground on the turns, set a pressured pace, bumped with a rival in upper stretch and drove clear late to return a paltry $2.60 to WIN and $2.10 to PLACE (no SHOW wagering).

The LONGSHOT PICK (23 5-1-2) Next Level (R3 #7 3-1 PT; 12-1 M/L) reluctant to load into the starting gate, sped to the early lead, saved ground setting the pace and was under urging in the stretch to score by 4½ lengths to return $8.80 to WIN, $5.00 to PLACE and $4.20 to SHOW.

Frankie Lovato’s JockeyWorld.org racing term of the day is #136… “Graded Race”

Selections for the Day 25 Pimlico Thursday, May 16th card are on Page 2.

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Happy Mother’s Day; Selection Sunday at Pimlico

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Happy Mother’s Day; Selection Sunday at Pimlico

Posted on 12 May 2013 by Gary Quill

Even though there is Sunday racing at Old Hilltop, this handicapper put his priorities in order (for once) and put his Mom first. She may not have taught me how to read past performances, or how recognize a track speed bias and/or determine a horses’ readiness by observing his/her physical movements in the post parade, but she taught a whole lot more. How to cook, to be accountable for my actions, have faith, respect others and to love, just to name a few.

Thanks Mom for loving and believing in me. To everyone who reads this blog, spend time with your Mom, whether it be in the same physical location or spiritually. Every Mom is a special person. Make sure you express your feelings and love for her, not only on Mother’s Day, but every day of the year.

Preakness Funnie with Crab
Drawing courtesy of Mel @dailyracefunies. To see more of Mel’s work, click here.

Recapping Pimlico Day 23 selections from Saturday 11-race card posted 8 winners (4 Top Selections in BOLD type) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $5.60 (2nd race), $3.60 (3rd), $4.60 (4th), $12.20 (5th), $4.60 (7th), $10.80 (9th), $3.20 (10th) and $6.00 (11th).

The BEST BET (22 8-4-2) Brand New Moves (R3 #1 5-1 PT; 7-2 M/L) chased the 4-5 betting favorite pace setter in vain, then faltered entering the stretch to finish 4th.

The LONGSHOT PICK (22 4-1-2) Grand Sam (R6 #3 7-1 PT; 15-1 M/L) was up close early on, dropped back after a half mile, altered course to be four wide entering the stretch but lacked a rally to finish evenly in 5th.

Frankie Lovato’s  JockeyWorld.org racing term of the day is #132…  “Good Bottom

Selections for the Day 24 Pimlico Sunday, May 12th card are on Page 2.

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