Tag Archive | "Baltimore"

Orioles pick up options on Chen, O’Day as expected

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Orioles pick up options on Chen, O’Day as expected

Posted on 30 October 2014 by Luke Jones

The Orioles offered no surprises in their decisions to exercise 2015 contract options for pitchers Wei-Yin Chen and Darren O’Day on Thursday.

And as expected, the Orioles declined options for right fielder Nick Markakis and catcher Nick Hundley, making both free agents. Of course, the organization continues to negotiate in hopes of reaching a long-term extension with the longtime outfielder, but Markakis will now receive a $2 million buyout. Hundley’s $5 million club option did not include a buyout.

After going 16-6 with a 3.54 ERA, Chen will make $4.75 million in 2015 as he’s been one of the Orioles’ most dependable starting pitchers with a 3.86 ERA in 86 starts over the last three seasons. The Taiwanese lefty originally signed a three-year, $11 million contract on Jan. 10, 2012.

The backbone of a strong Orioles bullpen over the last three years, O’Day — who will make $4.25 million next season — may have had the best season of his career in 2014 despite September struggles that crept into the postseason when he allowed four earned runs and two home runs in 2 2/3 innings. In the regular season, O’Day pitched to a 1.70 ERA in 68 appearances, but his 7.00 ERA in the month of September was concerning as he gave up three home runs to left-handed hitters.

The decision to pass on a mutual $17.5 million option for Markakis was expected, but assessing the 2003 first-round pick’s value is a tricky proposition with his offensive decline in recent years. The 30-year-old hit .276 with 14 home runs and 50 RBIs in 642 at-bats this season, but he’s posted slugging percentages below .400 in each of the last two years.

Acquired from the San Diego Padres in exchange for relief pitcher Troy Patton in late May, Hundley hit .233 with five home runs and 19 RBIs. It was always considered highly unlikely that the Orioles would pick up his option with starting catcher Matt Wieters expected back from Tommy John surgery next season.

With Chen and O’Day officially in the fold for the 2015 season, the Orioles have 32 players on their current 40-man roster.

The following members of the 2014 40-man roster are now free agents: Markakis, Hundley, Alexi Casilla, Nelson Cruz, Kelly Johnson, Andrew Miller, Johan Santana, Joe Saunders, and Delmon Young.

Clubs have five days of exclusive negotiating rights with their own free agents before other teams are allowed to make offers beginning on Nov. 4.

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Short-handed Ravens secondary has no time for excuses against Steelers

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Short-handed Ravens secondary has no time for excuses against Steelers

Posted on 30 October 2014 by Luke Jones

OWINGS MILLS, Md. — There’s no hiding from the danger of Jimmy Smith being absent in the Ravens’ secondary, especially when you’re facing Ben Roethlisberger and a Pittsburgh Steelers passing game that threw for over 500 yards last week.

There’s no easy fix for a pass defense that ranks 22nd in the NFL and has looked vulnerable even with the Pro Bowl-caliber cornerback in the secondary. But the Ravens have no time to feel sorry for themselves as they look to improve to 6-3 in an ultra-competitive AFC North with all four teams sporting winning records.

“I don’t think the Steelers are feeling really bad about it, so we can’t feel really bad about it,” said defensive coordinator Dean Pees about Smith’s foot injury expected to keep him out at least until after the Week 11 bye. “We just have to go with the next guy. [We] have to do what we can do to try to get the guys in the best position we can put them in as a coaching staff to give them success and go with it.”

But who is that next guy opposite Lardarius Webb, who is still working his way back to pre-injury form himself?

Is it Dominique Franks, who recently found his way into the nickel package after being signed to replace the injured Asa Jackson in early October? He was on the free-agent market at this time last month after being deemed not good enough by Baltimore at the end of the preseason.

Then there’s Chykie Brown, who entered training camp as the favorite to be the No. 3 cornerback behind Smith and Webb before struggling so dramatically that he was a healthy inactive the last two weeks. Safety Anthony Levine has also practiced at the cornerback position since the summer, but he’s played only five defensive snaps all season.

The Ravens could promote Tramain Jacobs — a rookie free agent from Texas A&M who impressed during training camp — from the practice squad, but a move such as that would likely see him serving on a special-teams role and as an insurance policy behind the others.

None of the aforementioned options opposite Webb inspire confidence, and that’s assuming Pees uses one of the Ravens’ safeties at the nickel position as he has for large stretches of the season.

“We’ve got to find somebody to step up,” strong safety Matt Elam said. “We know it’s going to be hard to do the things Jimmy’s been doing, but we need somebody to step up and do whatever it takes to help the team win. We’ve still got [time] to prepare and get right so we can execute. Just do whatever it takes to get a [win].”

It’s easier said than done against an offense sporting arguably the best receiver in the NFL in Antonio Brown as well as emerging young wideouts Martavis Bryant and Markus Wheaton. Pees spoke Thursday about the challenge of not being able to put all your focus on slowing Brown with Roethlisberger suddenly having more options to throw to at the wide receiver position.

Needless to say, the pressure to slow Brown is likely to fall on the shoulders of Webb, whose own status many were questioning just a few weeks ago after a back injury wiped out his entire summer as well as much of the first month of the season. The 5-foot-10 Brown isn’t physically imposing, which is good news for the similarly-statured Webb if he’s to shadow him all over the field.

Now would be a great time for Webb to regain the form he enjoyed prior to his second ACL injury in 2012 when he appeared on the verge of being one of the better cornerbacks in the NFL. His style is a major contrast to the 6-foot-2 Smith, who uses his combination of speed and physicality.

“Webb is more [of] a quicker guy and a lot smaller, more fluid, [and has good hands],” said Brown, who leads the NFL with 60 receptions on a staggering 87 targets in eight games. “Smith is a bigger, stronger guy who they like to put on the line of scrimmage and be disruptive at the line of scrimmage.”

The good news for the Ravens defense is the overall familiarity the coaching staff and veteran players have with the Pittsburgh offense. There are few surprises between these teams and the Ravens were certainly able to harass Roethlisberger in their Week 2 win in Baltimore when they held the Steelers to only six points.

But the Ravens know the pass rush must be on point again in not only disrupting the signal-caller’s timing but also in keeping him in the pocket as head coach John Harbaugh acknowledged no one is capable of the “extended play thing” better than Roethlisberger. It’s a scene all too familiar in watching the Pittsburgh quarterback escape pressure to eventually find an open receiver breaking away from downfield coverage.

The challenge is always there for a coordinator to strike the right balance between sending extra blitzers — leaving fewer in coverage — or playing with more defenders in the back end and relying on a four-man rush, but Pees will need to be more creative than ever with the shortage at cornerback. How the secondary will look is anyone’s guess as the Ravens may go back to Elam playing the nickel position as they’ve frequently done this season or they could turn to another such as the intriguing Will Hill or rookie Terrence Brooks, who played some nickel in the preseason.

It won’t be easy against the league’s fourth-ranked passing game, but anyone knows not to dwell too much on the numbers in this AFC North rivalry in which 10 of the last 13 regular-season meetings have been decided by three or fewer points.

“We have the guys we need. Every team faces some kind of a situation at some position,” Harbaugh said. “We’ve had injuries all year in different positions, and you just have to step up. It’s not something we talk about. We don’t make a big deal about it. It’s not a point of emphasis for us. It’s just we’re the team; it’s the Ravens’ team. And whoever is part of it goes out there and plays and does their best.”

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Forsett, Ngata, Yanda return to practice on Thursday

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Forsett, Ngata, Yanda return to practice on Thursday

Posted on 30 October 2014 by Luke Jones

OWINGS MILLS, Md. — After seven players missed Wednesday’s practice as the Ravens prepare to play the arch rival Pittsburgh Steelers, three starters returned to the field a day later.

Running back Justin Forsett (ankle), right guard Marshal Yanda (knee), and defensive tackle Haloti Ngata (shin) were all present and working after sitting out Wednesday’s workout. Cornerback Lardarius Webb (non-injury) was also practicing after receiving a veteran day off.

Linebacker Terrell Suggs (neck), wide receiver Michael Campanaro (hamstring), and cornerback Jimmy Smith (foot) remained sidelined. Tight end Owen Daniels (knee) was not present during the portion of practice open to media after working on a limited basis Wednesday.

It remains to be seen whether the Ravens were simply resting Daniels or his knee didn’t respond as favorably as they’d hoped to him practicing so soon after last week’s cleanup procedure.

Wide receiver Steve Smith and linebacker Daryl Smith were not present during the viewing portion of practice, but they were not listed on Thursday’s injury report.

Defensive end Chris Canty (wrist surgery) was practicing once again after being listed as a full participant on Wednesday’s injury report. It appears the veteran will have a good chance of returning to action against Pittsburgh if his conditioning is up to par after a four-game absence due to an infection in his wrist.

For the Steelers, cornerback Ike Taylor (forearm) was a limited participant for the second straight day, leaving open the possibility of him playing for the first time since Week 3.

Below is Thursday’s full injury report:

BALTIMORE
DID NOT PARTICIPATE: WR Michael Campanaro (thigh), TE Owen Daniels (knee), CB Jimmy Smith (foot), LB Terrell Suggs (neck)
LIMITED PARTICIPATION: RB Justin Forsett (ankle), G Marshal Yanda (knee)
FULL PARTICIPATION: DE Chris Canty (wrist), DT Haloti Ngata (shin), , CB Lardarius Webb (non-injury)

PITTSBURGH
DID NOT PARTICIPATE: DE Brett Keisel (non-injury), TE Heath Miller (non-injury), S Troy Polamalu (non-injury), S Ross Ventrone (hamstring)
LIMITED PARTICIPATION: S Michael Mitchell (non-injury), CB Ike Taylor (forearm)
FULL PARTICIPATION: T Marcus Gilbert (concussion), DT Steve McLendon (shoulder), LB Ryan Shazier (knee), TE Matt Spaeth (hamstring), S Shamarko Thomas (hamstring)

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Mosley named NFL Defensive Rookie of the Month

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Mosley named NFL Defensive Rookie of the Month

Posted on 30 October 2014 by Luke Jones

The praise continues to come for Ravens linebacker C.J. Mosley as he was named NFL Defensive Rookie of the Month for October on Thursday.

The 17th overall pick of May’s draft is viewed by many as a favorite to win the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award as he ranks fourth in the league in tackles and has graded out as the NFL’s best inside linebacker, according to Pro Football Focus. Mosley collected 42 tackles and two interceptions in four October games and played his best contest as a pro against the Indianapolis Colts on Oct. 5 when he compiled 15 tackles and an interception in a 20-13 defeat.

For the season, Mosley has 76 tackles (three for a loss), two interceptions, six pass breakups, five quarterback hits, one forced fumble, and one fumble recovery while starting all eight games next to fellow inside linebacker Daryl Smith.

“Besides just being a good football player and a good athlete, he’s a very, very intelligent guy,” defensive coordinator Dean Pees said. “A lot of times, rookies come in and you have to teach them how to study. And that was what was always great about having Ray [Lewis] and those guys around. They kind of followed his lead for a while. He has Daryl, [who] does a great job, but he’s kind of a guy that was like that when he came in. That’s what he is, and it’s very evident in how he plays.”

The University of Alabama product’s emergence is a major reason why the Baltimore defense currently ranks second in points allowed per game and seventh in run defense.

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Orioles outright right-hander Meek to Norfolk

Posted on 29 October 2014 by Luke Jones

The Orioles cleared an additional spot on their 40-man roster Wednesday by outrighting right-handed relief pitcher Evan Meek to Triple-A Norfolk.

The 31-year-old can refuse the assignment and become a free agent after going 0-4 with a 5.79 ERA in 23 appearances for the Orioles and 2-0 with 16 saves and a 1.94 ERA in 39 appearances for the Tides in 2014. Signed to a minor-league deal last offseason, Meek made the Opening Day roster before struggles landed him back in the minors.

A former All-Star selection with the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2010, Meek allowed the walk-off single to retired New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter in his final game at Yankee Stadium on Sept. 25.

The Orioles now have 38 players on their 40-man roster, but that will change with a number of potential free agents to address such as Nelson Cruz, Nick Markakis, Andrew Miller, and Delmon Young.

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Daniels, Canty return to practice as Ravens prepare for Pittsburgh

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Daniels, Canty return to practice as Ravens prepare for Pittsburgh

Posted on 29 October 2014 by Luke Jones

OWINGS MILLS, Md. — A couple days after news came of cornerback Jimmy Smith being sidelined for at least a few weeks, the Ravens welcomed back tight end Owen Daniels and defensive end Chris Canty to the practice field on Wednesday as they prepared for Sunday’s meeting with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Daniels underwent a cleanup procedure on his left knee only last week and missed last Sunday’s game against the Cincinnati Bengals, but head coach John Harbaugh indicated at the time that the veteran tight end could return to play against Pittsburgh. His limited participation on Wednesday indicated a swift return is quite possible if his knee responds favorably.

“It could actually be next week,” Harbaugh said last Friday. “We’ll just have to see how that goes. That’d be an optimistic approach, but it could happen. That’s where we’re at on that.”

Canty’s return to practice came after the veteran defensive end had missed the last four games due to surgery for a staph infection in his wrist. The Ravens have used third-year lineman DeAngelo Tyson in Canty’s place.

The 31-year-old was cleared to begin heavy activity last week, but his biggest obstacle will be getting back into live-game shape after a month layoff. He was a full participant during Wednesday’s practice.

“Chris is back around the team. He’s coming around,” Harbaugh said last Friday. “He was cleared today, as a matter of fact, to start training heavily. It’s just a matter of now how fast he can get back in shape.”

The Ravens were without linebacker Terrell Suggs (neck), defensive tackle Haloti Ngata (shin), guard Marshal Yanda (knee), running back Justin Forsett (ankle), wide receiver Michael Campanaro (hamstring), and Smith during the open portion of practice. Smith is expected to miss a few weeks and Campanaro’s hamstring is a concern, but none of the others are believed to be a major concern at this point in the week.

Cornerback Lardarius Webb worked out without pads on the sideline during the special-teams portion held in the team’s field house, but he received a veteran day off during the outside portion of practice in the rain.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh gave days off to defensive end Brett Keisel and safeties Troy Polamalu and Michael Mitchell while cornerback Ike Taylor (forearm) practiced on a limited basis. Taylor hasn’t played since breaking his forearm in Week 3, but the veteran defensive back returned to the practice field on a limited basis last week.

Below is Wednesday’s injury report:

BALTIMORE
DID NOT PARTICIPATE: WR Michael Campanaro (thigh), RB Justin Forsett (ankle), DT Haloti Ngata (shin), CB Jimmy Smith (foot), LB Terrell Suggs (neck), CB Lardarius Webb (non-injury), G Marshal Yanda (knee)
LIMITED PARTICIPATION: TE Owen Daniels (knee)
FULL PARTICIPATION: DE Chris Canty (wrist)

PITTSBURGH
DID NOT PARTICIPATE: DE Brett Keisel (non-injury), S Michael Mitchell (non-injury), S Troy Polamalu (non-injury), TE Matt Spaeth (hamstring), S Ross Ventrone (hamstring)
LIMITED PARTICIPATION: CB Ike Taylor (forearm)
FULL PARTICIPATION: T Marcus Gilbert (concussion), DT Steve McLendon (shoulder), LB Ryan Shazier (knee), S Shamarko Thomas (hamstring)

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Five up, five down: Ravens stock at midway point

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Five up, five down: Ravens stock at midway point

Posted on 29 October 2014 by Luke Jones

At the midway point of the season, we take a look at which Ravens players’ stock is up and down after the first eight games of 2014 …

STOCK UP

1. Justin Forsett
Skinny: What else can be said about the 29-year-old journeyman who currently ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards (571) and second among running backs in yards per carry (5.5). Forsett said it best last week in quipping that many people didn’t even know he was still in the NFL entering 2014, but he’s been a saving grace in the aftermath of the Ray Rice saga. For an organization that’s found plenty of diamonds in the rough over the years, Forsett has been as good of a story as any.

2. Pernell McPhee
Skinny: The rush specialist has picked the perfect time to have a career year with his rookie contract set to expire. McPhee is second on the team in sacks (four) despite playing fewer snaps than Terrell Suggs or Elvis Dumervil, a reflection of how effective he’s been in putting pressure on quarterbacks. The 2011 fifth-round pick’s improved health as well as defensive coordinator Dean Pees’ effective use of McPhee have added up to the Ravens having their best interior rusher in quite some time.

3. C.J. Mosley
Skinny: Many were obviously high on the 2014 first-round pick, but Mosley has been better than advertised in serving as the Ravens’ best inside linebacker and a top candidate for the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award. Mosley ranks fourth in the NFL in tackles entering Week 9 and has recorded two interceptions, six pass breakups, five quarterback hits, a forced fumble, and a fumble recovery. For a front seven that needed some new blood, Mosley has been a high-impact addition.

4. Rick Wagner
Skinny: Remember when right tackle was a major topic of discussion throughout the offseason? Wagner has not only quelled those concerns, but the 2013 fifth-round selection has been an above-average player at his position, a major reason why the offensive line has been one of the strengths of the 2014 Ravens. He and perennial Pro Bowl right guard Marshal Yanda have been an impressive tandem opening lanes on the right side of the line for the league’s eighth-ranked running game.

5. Brandon Williams
Skinny: There were high hopes for the second-year nose tackle to slide into a starting role and Williams hasn’t disappointed while wreaking havoc for interior offensive linemen against the run. He is seventh on the team in tackles and has made it far more difficult for teams to focus their attention on defensive tackle Haloti Ngata. Very athletic for his size, Williams has recorded 25 tackles, 1/2 sack, a forced fumble, and a fumble recovery in his first year as a starter.

Others receiving consideration: Marshal Yanda, Kelechi Osemele, Steve Smith

STOCK DOWN

1. Jacoby Jones
Skinny: His season has been nothing short of disastrous as he’s dropped more passes (five) than he’s caught (four) and has twice lost fumbles on returns. The Ravens re-signed him to a four-year, $12 million contract that included a $3.5 million signing bonus in March, which is now looking like one of the worst contracts the organization has handed out in recent memory. He’ll need a big second half just to avoid being cut after the 2014 season, but his role has all but disappeared in the offense.

2. Bernard Pierce
Skinny: It’s been a dramatic fall for the 2012 third-round pick, who began the year as the starting running back and was a healthy inactive in Sunday’s game against Cincinnati. Pierce’s 3.6 yards per carry average is nearly two yards worse than Forsett’s (5.5) and lags behind rookie Lorenzo Taliaferro (4.4), which reflects his struggles and indecisiveness running in Gary Kubiak’s zone-blocking system. Pierce hasn’t taken advantage of what was a huge chance to prove himself as a feature back.

3. Matt Elam
Skinny: It’s fair to point out that Elam has been out of position for a large portion of his career, playing free safety as a rookie and often filling in at the nickel spot often in 2014. However, it isn’t just his pass coverage that’s been unsatisfactory as the 2013 first-round pick leads the team in missed tackles with 12, according to Pro Football Focus. It’s too early to label Elam a bust, but he hasn’t consistently displayed qualities of a good strong safety, let alone the versatility the Ravens expected him to have.

4. Torrey Smith
Skinny: The fourth-year receiver has had his moments and has drawn several significant pass interference calls, but he’s gone from a wideout who produced 1,128 receiving yards a year ago to one on pace for 36 catches and 616 yards in 2014. The Steve Smith factor is obvious, but Torrey Smith has averaged just 1.22 yards per route run, which is the 14th-worst mark in the NFL among players targeted at least 20 times. A down season couldn’t have come at a worse time with his rookie contract expiring.

5. Arthur Brown
Skinny: The 2013 second-round pick has been a healthy inactive for eight straight games as the Ravens have elected to use the likes of Albert McClellan and rookie free agent Zach Orr on special teams. The re-signing of Daryl Smith and the drafting of Mosley made it pretty obvious that Brown would need to remain patient in terms of expanding his role from a year ago when he served as a nickel linebacker. But for him to not even suit up for games is pretty telling of his current status.

Others receiving consideration: Marlon Brown, Chykie Brown, Lardarius Webb

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Trade deadline passes without any Ravens activity

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Trade deadline passes without any Ravens activity

Posted on 28 October 2014 by Luke Jones

The NFL trade deadline came and went Tuesday without the Ravens making any moves as they prepare for a key Week 9 game in Pittsburgh.

The news is hardly surprising with activity at the NFL’s deadline paling in comparison to the other major sports historically. In fact, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were the only team to sell off players Tuesday by trading safety Mark Barron to the St. Louis Rams and linebacker Jonathan Casillas to the New England Patriots in exchange for draft picks.

The Ravens completed their first in-season trade in franchise history last season when they dealt fourth- and fifth-round picks in the 2014 draft to Jacksonville for current left tackle Eugene Monroe on Oct. 1, 2013. Baltimore followed that with another trade later that month by sending benched tackle Bryant McKinnie to Miami for a seventh-round pick.

This year, general manager Ozzie Newsome explored possibilities at the cornerback position in the wake of the mid-foot sprain suffered by Jimmy Smith in Sunday’s loss at Cincinnati, but the reality is that all teams value quality cornerback play and aren’t willing to part with it cheaply. With Smith expected to be sidelined at least until after the Week 11 bye, the Ravens only have three healthy cornerbacks on their 53-man roster — Lardarius Webb, Dominique Franks, and Chykie Brown.

Baltimore could turn to the open market for another option, but such a move would be no more than adding a warm body and the Ravens have a number of safeties who can play the nickel position including Matt Elam, Terrence Brooks, and Anthony Levine. Quality defensive backs just don’t grow on trees in this pass-happy, offense-driven era of professional football.

“We don’t have to [add someone]. If we can find the right guy, we would do that,” head coach John Harbaugh said Monday. “They’re scarce. If you’ve got a name for me, I’m willing to hear it.”

Defensive coordinator Dean Pees will need to be creative in not only dialing up consistent pressure up front to aid the secondary but in finding the right formula for coverage in the back end. Webb is improving but hasn’t looked like the force he was prior to his ACL injury in 2012 while it’s difficult to label Franks and Brown as anything but liabilities based on what we’ve seen so far in 2014.

The solution — or some semblance of one — will likely fall in how effectively Pees uses his safeties with Will Hill as the biggest wild card at this point. Baltimore has employed Elam as a nickel back for much of the season, but the 2013 first-round pick has struggled in coverage, making you wonder if Hill or or even the rookie Brooks might be a better fit for that role. Using a safety in the nickel spot can certainly provide an edge playing against the run, but enough range and ability in pass coverage are obvious requirements for it to work.

The Ravens need to find answers quickly as the Steelers’ fourth-ranked passing game awaits Sunday, but they didn’t find any help with the deadline passing on Tuesday afternoon.

 

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How far should Orioles go to re-sign Markakis?

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How far should Orioles go to re-sign Markakis?

Posted on 28 October 2014 by Luke Jones

It’s no secret that the Orioles want to keep Nick Markakis.

The organization’s first-round pick in 2003 and the regular right fielder since 2006, Markakis is the longest-tenured Oriole and offers some value that can’t be easily measured as a longtime leader in the clubhouse. But even as executive vice president of baseball operations Dan Duquette engages in contract talks to keep the soon-to-be 31-year-old in Baltimore for the 2015 season and beyond, everyone has a price and determining Markakis’ overall value is a tricky proposition.

It was apparent a couple years ago that the Orioles weren’t going to exercise Markakis’ $17.5 million mutual option for 2015. Even as a favorite of manager Buck Showalter and his teammates, the right fielder’s numbers have declined in recent years as 2013 was his worst season and he still only produced a .729 on-base plus slugging percentage this year. He’s hit below .280 in each of his last two seasons and his slugging percentage has fallen below the .400 mark in back-to-back years as he doesn’t provide the same gap power he did as a hitter who once averaged 45 doubles or so.

A simple look at his numbers over the last four years — save a productive 2012 that was limited to 102 games due to injuries — suggests the Orioles should attempt to find an upgrade in right field, but it isn’t quite that simple with a player like Markakis. This winter’s crop of free-agent outfielders offers few options as good as Markakis, let alone better.

That reality not only means it would be challenging to find a player of his caliber, but demand could be substantial in the open market, further driving up his price. The Orioles could make the $15.3 million qualifying offer that would drive down demand from other teams who would then forfeit a draft pick to sign him, but Markakis could simply accept the qualifying offer — in addition to his $2 million buyout — and essentially be back where he was with the original mutual option.

Internal options to replace Markakis in right field include Steve Pearce and a variety of fourth-outfielder types such as David Lough, Alejandro De Aza, and 25-year-old outfield prospect Dariel Alvarez unless you’re going all in to re-sign slugger Nelson Cruz to a long-term contract.

So, how much is Markakis really worth?

The general consensus is that a win costs approximately $6 million on the open market and Markakis has averaged just over two wins above replacement (WAR) per season over the last five years if you eliminate a very productive 2012 cut short by injuries and a horrendous 2013, the two clear outliers in that period of time. If we’re to assume Markakis continues to be a 2.0 WAR player over the next few years — optimistic, but not unreasonable for a player in his early 30s — that would put him in the neighborhood of earning $12 million per year in a vacuum.

Of course, that’s a statistically-driven monetary value that doesn’t consider the intangibles that Markakis brings that can’t be easily quantified or the supply and demand of the open market in any given offseason.

What does each side expect from the other? Do the Orioles want Markakis to take a hometown discount after signing shortstop J.J. Hardy — who’s been a 3.65 WAR player per year since 2011 and is only slightly older — to a reasonable three-year, $40 million contract with a vesting option? Does Markakis expect the Orioles to split the difference between what the numbers suggest he’s worth per year and the $17.5 million option for 2015 that they declined? Does he expect to be paid as much as or more than Hardy even though the latter has been more valuable over the last four seasons?

Even though he’s one of the few Orioles to make Baltimore his year-round home in recent years, Markakis has never had the opportunity to test the free-agent market and perhaps he’s curious to see what other teams might offer.

If you’re the Orioles, a three-year contract worth somewhere between $34 million and $38 million would be acceptable if you can’t reap the benefits of a hometown discount. Perhaps a vesting fourth-year option similar to the one Hardy received — which is reportedly based on plate appearances — would be an attractive addition, but there has been too much decline in Markakis’ production in recent years to go much higher than that in terms of years or money unless you’re perfectly fine with overpaying.

Entering the 2015 season at age 31, Markakis should have plenty of solid baseball ahead of him, but the last five years suggest the best you’re reasonably going to get from him is worth roughly $12 million per year on the open market and that’s assuming he doesn’t decline further. Of course, his value isn’t based solely on the numbers, but you have to be careful not to overpay for intangibles and sentimentality.

Replacing Markakis wouldn’t be easy in terms of finding a leadoff hitter and replacing his leadership in the clubhouse, but the Orioles shouldn’t overpay for those qualities, either, with other players and other needs to address this offseason and in the coming years.

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Other than Flacco, who is most indispensable on 2014 Ravens?

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Other than Flacco, who is most indispensable on 2014 Ravens?

Posted on 28 October 2014 by Luke Jones

With Ravens head coach John Harbaugh announcing Monday that cornerback Jimmy Smith would be sidelined a few weeks with a mid-foot sprain, the news sparked a debate many fans might not want to think about.

Other than quarterback Joe Flacco — there’s no disputing that he tops the list — who is the one player the 2014 Ravens can least afford to lose in the middle of the season? We’re not talking about pondering offseason changes or considering who will become a free agent, but it’s merely a question of which player other than Flacco is most indispensable to the Ravens’ fortunes between now and the end of the season.

When you take into account the Ravens’ lack of depth at cornerback and the struggles they’ve already had in the secondary this season, Smith tops my list as he was the only defensive back playing well enough to significantly limit an opponent’s passing game. It’s difficult to find quality cornerbacks in the modern NFL that’s driven by offense, but Smith has been graded as the fourth-best corner in coverage by Pro Football Focus this season.

Even though fellow starting cornerback Lardarius Webb has improved from where he was a month ago, you’re still not seeing the kind of play from him that we saw prior to his second ACL injury in 2012. And the options beyond him, Dominique Franks and Chykie Brown, clearly aren’t starting-caliber players, making Smith’s loss one that will cause restless nights for Harbaugh and defensive coordinator Dean Pees.

The Ravens aren’t necessarily doomed, but they’re going to need a robust pass rush in the coming weeks for that secondary to hold up without Smith.

Of course, the Ravens have a handful of others whose loss would be a significant blow.

Five-time Pro Bowl defensive tackle Haloti Ngata is having his best season in a few years and provides so much versatility in being able to play multiple techniques on the defensive line.

What more can be said about veteran wideout Steve Smith, who leads the Ravens in receptions and receiving yards by a wide margin?

You might be able to find a serviceable kicker to fill in for Justin Tucker, but his range from beyond 50 and pinpoint accuracy inside that mark are skills that shouldn’t be taken for granted, especially in games when your offense isn’t firing on all cylinders.

Veteran Jeremy Zuttah was the only significant offseason addition to an offensive line that was a disaster in 2013. Would the Ravens hold up with Gino Gradkowski or John Urschel filling in at that critical center position?

And the man next to Zuttah, three-time Pro Bowl right guard Marshal Yanda, has only graded out as the best guard in the NFL by PFF with the Ravens running more effectively to the right side all season.

Would running back Justin Forsett receive your vote with Bernard Pierce struggling mightily and rookie Lorenzo Taliaferro the only other option?

The Ravens saw firsthand Sunday what it was like to be without tight end Owen Daniels with only rookie Crockett Gillmore and former practice-squad member Phillip Supernaw behind him, and we know how offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak values the position.

Would Terrell Suggs or Elvis Dumervil be your choice even though outside linebacker is the deepest position on the roster for the Ravens?

Beyond Flacco, who is the player the 2014 Ravens can least afford to lose? Be sure to consider roster depth at any given position as this isn’t a simple question of who is the best player.

Vote in our poll and leave a comment below if I’ve overlooked someone entirely.

Other than Joe Flacco, which player can the 2014 Ravens least afford to lose?

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