Tag Archive | "Bob Baffert"

Tags: , , , ,

Rosario wins Black-Eyed Susan Stakes aboard Fiftyshadesofhay

Posted on 17 May 2013 by WNST Staff

Fiftyshadesofhay Gets Up To Win Black-Eyed Susan Stakes

 

BALTIMORE, 05-17-13 – Karl Watson, Michael E. Pegram & Paul Weitman’s Fiftyshadesofhay closed with a rush to claim a narrow victory in the 89th running of the $500,000 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (G2) at Pimlico Race Course.

Trained by Bob Baffert, the daughter of Pulpit rated off the pace under jockey Joel Rosario before launching an outside stretch run and reeling in Marathon Lady by a neck at the finish. Fiftyshadesofhay ran the 1 1/8-mile stakes for 3-year-old fillies in 1:52.73.  Toasting, who pressed the pace under Javier Castellano, finished third.

Emollient, the 4-5 favorite ridden by Mike Smith, had trouble leaving the starting gate and was never a serious factor during a sixth-place finish.

Fiftyshadesofhay broke her maiden at Hollywood Park last year and won the San Ysabel (G3) at Santa Anita in January. She most recently finished third in the Santa Anita Oaks (G1) on April 6.

Fiftyshadesofhay paid $6.60.

 

BLACK-EYED SUSAN STAKES QUOTES

Bob Baffert (trainer, Fiftyshadesofhay, winner) – “I wasn’t sure turning for home because I told Rosario that she usually runs 1-2-3, but ride her the way you feel you should ride her. Rosario sort of did his own thing today, but it was the right thing.”

 

Joel Rosario (jockey, Joel Rosario, winner) – “It was kind of a perfect trip, but she was kind of slowing a little bit from the dirt in her face. I got her on the outside and she looked like she was really comfortable. Right when I went past the three-eighths pole before turning for home, she kind of got away from me a little bit. I was kind of worried about it, but she was able to get it back together and she kept going. Bob (Baffert) told me, ‘She’s just one-paced, so keep her going.’ So I think it was a little bit better to keep her on the outside. When I passed the sixteenth-pole I could see that the horse in front of me was backing up a little. That’s when I felt better.

 

Steve Hobby (trainer, Marathon Lady, 2nd) – “She ran huge. She ran her tail off. She had a great trip. I don’t know what we could have done any different.

 

Robby Albarado (jockey, Marathon Lady, 2nd) – “I had a lot of horse under me the entire race. Something must have happened to Mike’s (Smith) filly (Emollient) in the gate, because I thought she’d be up front. I found myself lying third and very comfortable at every point. I thought I had it won until right before the wire.”

 

Javier Castellano (jockey, Toasting, 3rd) – “She was great today. They put the blinkers on her and she pulled me all the way. I’m happy with what she did against the best 3-year-olds in the country. She stepped up and showed us her class today.”

 

Bill Mott (trainer, Emollient, 6th)   “She had a pretty good stumble leaving the gate, which didn’t help. Obviously, she got back a little further and had to overcome that. It looked like to me she might have been fighting that racetrack. The main track may not be her best surface, so you might see her try the turf course next time.”

 

Mike Smith (jockey, Emollient, 6th) – “She stumbled out of the gate really bad, and she caught her leg. It was pretty much over for us after that.”

Comments (0)

Blue Grass Stakes & Arkansas Derby Analysis plus Saturday (Day 7) Selections at Pimlico

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

Blue Grass Stakes & Arkansas Derby Analysis plus Saturday (Day 7) Selections at Pimlico

Posted on 12 April 2013 by Gary Quill

Three weeks from Saturday is the 139th running of the Kentucky Derby and there are only a few more races between now and then for 3 year olds to crack into the Top 20 of the Derby Points System List. The Derby is limited to twenty (20) starters, and the pecking order is based on the number of points accumulated via the inaugural year of this new system.

Drawing by Mel @dailyracefunies. To see more of Mel’s work, click here.

This Saturday is ideally the latest that any colt or gelding should race if they are to be in top condition to run in the Derby on May 4th. On Saturday, there are two…the $750,000 G1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland in Lexington, KY and the $1,000,000 G1 Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, AR. Both races are run at the distance of 1 1/8 miles and will be broadcast live on NBC Sport during a 90 minute telecast which starts at 5:00pm EDT.

The Blue Grass Stakes (Post Time 5:40pm EDT) attracted fifteen (15) entries even though the race is restricted to fourteen (14) starters. So #15 – Divine Ambition (50-1) will only run if one of the other 14 scratch by Saturday morning, but he is cross-entered in the Arkansas Derby, and will likely run there. Based on the Morning Line oddsmaker, there is no clear cut favorite as #7 – Uncaptured is the lukewarm 7-2 favorite with #4 -  Java’s War and #13 – Rydilluc are both 4-1.

HOW I SEE IT: WOW! If a horseplayer could hand pick a race to be a prime example of a “great betting race”, this one would have to be it. Fourteen starters, no prohibitive favorite, all carry 123 lbs., you can make a case for any of the 14, and there’s a good mix of running styles. Bottom line: The best horse (on this day) wins. Six of them have already tested the 9 furlong distance, but only one (Uncaptured) hit the board. Assuming the Keeneland oval is playing ‘favor’, I’ll lean on the Brisnet All-Weather surface figures and workout patterns for my Top 3, which include two huge prices.

The Blue Grass “Go Big or Go Home” Play: $10 WPS on #9 – Tesseron (50-1)
$2 EX BOX 7-9-10 (Uncaptured – Tesseron – Footbridge)

At approximately 6:28pm EDT, a field eleven (11) will break from the starting gate for the Arkansas Derby. Bob Baffert has been golden in graded stakes in the past at Oaklawn Park and this year was more of the same when Super Ninety Nine destroyed the field in the Southwest Stakes but was a beaten favorite in the Rebel. Not to worry. Bob rolls back into Hot Springs with the 2-1 M/L favorite #2 – War Academy, a very impressive winner in his 2-turn debut last out, against allowance company.

Baffert will also start #5 – Den’s Legacy (6-1) who was third in the Rebel Stakes while D. Wayne Lukas will give a leg up to jockey Gary Stevens on the 5-2 second choice #10 – Oxbow who was nosed out of a win in the Rebel by stablemate Will Take Charge. The 4-1 third choice #9 – Overanalyze will try to give Todd Pletcher another Derby starter if he finishes in-the-money. Calvin Borel puts his Kentucky Derby mount hopes on #7 – Texas Bling (20-1).

HOW I SEE IT: This field is not lacking speed, but is short on a proven Closer that can compete at this level. Oxbow, has broken from the 10 or 11 post in 4 of his last 5, so he’ll be right at home breaking from #10 and will certainly get to the front, with #3 – Divine Ambition, #4 – Falling Sky and #6 – Heaven’s Runway keeping him company early. There should be a log-jam of runners in the second flight, so whoever can get the cleanest trip may get to the Winners Circle. Only two starters have previously covered the 9 furlongs distance… #8 – Frac Daddy (7th in FL Derby two weeks ago) and #9 – Overanalyze (won Remsen in Nov.).

The Arkansas Derby Play: $10 WPS on #9 – Overanalyze (4-1)
$2 EX BOX 2-9-10 (War Academy – Overanalyze – Oxbow)

The JockeyWorld.org racing term of the day is #103…  “Figure Eight

Recapping Pimlico’s Friday 9-race card posted had 6 winners (1 Top Selection in BOLD type) from 7 races, as in 2 of the races taken off the turf, resulted in all 3 selections being scratched. With the fields depleted by scratches due to sloppy track made for some chalky$2 WIN pay-offs of $3.40 (1st race), $10.40 (2nd), $5.20 (4th), $3.40 (6th), $5.20 (8th) and $9.80 (9th).

The BEST BET of the Day (5 3-0-1) Empedrado (R6 #5 3-5 PT; 5-1 M/L) took on the role of favorite after when scratches cut the field to four (4). He was last by 7 lengths at the quarter pole, but in a blink of an eye he swooped by his 3 rivals at the head of the stretch, and won by 9 ¾ while geared down approaching the wire to return $3.40 to WIN and $2.20 to PLACE as there was no SHOW wagering.

The LONGSHOT PICK (5 1-0-1) Francesco Punch  (R3 #7 n/a PT; 15-1 M/L) was scratched along with many others in this race originally scheduled on the turf.

SHOW Parlay Play of the Day, $24 on War Relic  (R7 #13; n/a PT, 3-1 M/L) was a NO BET as he was also scratched when all turf races were taken off and run on the main track sloppy surface. No worries, there’s always another day. Day 7 in fact.

Selections for the Day 7 Pimlico Saturday, April 13th card are on Page 2.

Comments (0)

Kentucky-Derby-139-logo

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2: Mar. 1st – 3rd

Posted on 27 February 2013 by Gary Quill

Derby logoKentucky Derby Future Wager – Pool 2 betting starts noon Friday through 6:00 p.m. EST Sunday, March 3rd

Todd Pletcher and Bob Baffert have 11 of the 23 individual interests in Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

It took less than 3 weeks to determine six (6) from Pool 1 were not worthy to be included in Pool 2. They are Capo Bastone, Frac Daddy, Mylute, He’s Had Enough, Violence and Will Take Charge…  replaced by Ive Struck a Nerve, Orb, Palace Malice, Shakin It Up, Titletown Five and Treasury Bill.

Program# – horse – (trainer) —- last race ——— odds — [*GQ DDDR]

1.  Code West (Baffert) 2nd G2 Risen Star by nose  20-1  [N/R]

2.  Delhomme (Pletcher) 3rd G2 Remsen by ¾ length  50-1 [N/R]

3.  Den’s Legacy (Baffert) 2nd G2 Bob Lewis by 6¼   50-1 [N/R]

4.  Dynamic Sky (Casse) 2nd G3 Sam Davis by neck  50-1 [9]

5.  Falling Sky (Terranova) 1st G3 Sam Davis by neck  50-1 [N/R]

6.  Flashback (Baffert) 1st G2 Bob Lewis by 6¼  12-1 [8]

7.  Goldencents (O’Neill) 1st G3 Sham by 1½  20-1 [N/R]

8.  Itsmyluckyday (Plesa) 1st G3 Holy Bull by 2  12-1 [14]

9.  Ive Struck a Nerve (Desormeaux) 1st G2 Risen Star by nose 30-1 [N/R]

10.  Normandy Invasion (Brown) 5th G2 Risen Star by 1½  15-1 [10]

11. Orb (McGaughey) 1st G2 Fountain of Youth by ½  12-1 [N/R]

12. Overanalyze (Pletcher) 1st G2 Remsen by nose  20-1 [N/R]

13.  Oxbow (Lukas) 4th G2 Risen Star by ½  30-1 [N/R]

14.  Palace Malice (Pletcher) 3rd G2 Risen Star by ½  30-1 [N/R]

15.  Revolutionary (Pletcher) 1st G3 Withers by neck 12-1 [2]

16.  Shakin It Up (Baffert) 1st G2 San Vicente by length 15-1 [3]

17.  Shanghai Bobby (Pletcher) 2nd G3 Holy Bull by 2  15-1 [N/R]

18.  Super Ninety Nine (Baffert) 1st G3 Southwest by 11¼  10-1 [N/R]

19.  Titletown Five (Lukas) 1st Oct. 28 CD maiden by 9  30-1 [N/R]

20.  Treasury Bill (Ellis) 2nd G2 San Vicente by length  30-1 [4]

21.  Uncaptured (Casse) 1st G2 Ky Jockey Club by neck  30-1 [N/R]

22.  Verrazano (Pletcher) 1st GP allowance by 16¼  10-1 [N/R]

23.  Vyjack (Rodriguez) 1st G2 Jerome by head  30-1 [N/R]

24.  All other 3-year-olds  3-1

BOLD Type = new wagering interest in Pool 2

*GQ DDDR = GQ’s Derby Double Dozen Ranking from Feb. 9th blog

 

Comments (1)

2012-LaurelPark-logo

Tags: , , , , ,

A Bob Baffert sighting at Laurel Park for Saturday’s Stakes race?

Posted on 07 December 2012 by Gary Quill

The 8th day of December will seem more like a day in April as temperatures along the Baltimore-Washington, D.C. corridor hover in the low 60’s. That should bring horse racing fans out to Laurel Park who otherwise had settled into hibernation mode just two weeks prior to the winter solstice.

For Saturday December 8th the Laurel Park 9-race card features the $125,000 City of Laurel Stakes for 3-year-olds. Shipping in from New York for Chad C. Brown is Hardened Wildcat, making his first start since Belmont Stakes Day, when he finished 4th behind the 2012 Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner Trinniberg in the G2 Woody Stephens. Easily the most impressive career win for this 3-year-old son of Hard Spun was the Fred Capossela Stakes at Aqueduct on March 10, 21012.

Bob Baffert er uh, well one of his assist trainers, comes to Laurel Park for the first time in 2012 to saddle Brigand. The graded stakes placed son of Flatter has been part of the Exacta in 8 of 11 career starts. New York has been his home since Baffert shipped him to Aqueduct last spring for the G2 Jerome, where he gave this years BC Sprint runner-up, The Lumber Guy all he could handle.

It would be great to see Bob in the Laurel paddock, but that’s one early Christmas gift that Santa won’t be delivering. As attractive as D.C. is in December, he’s certain to stay in California to see if his 2-year-old filly Executiveprivliege can rebound from her first defeat, when beaten one length in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. She’ll be the prohibitive favorite in the $500,000 G1 Hollywood Starlet Stakes at Betfair Hollywood Park on Saturday.

The City of Laurel Stakes field of eight (8) also includes Preakness Stakes Also-Ran, Pretension (11th). This Maryland based runner is hoping to regain his early 3-year-old form prior to starting his 4-year-old campaign.

Recapping my selections at Laurel Park from Saturday, Dec. 1st had 7 winners from 9 races (5 Top Selections; pay-offs shown in BOLD type) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $8.00 (1st race), $3.20 (4th), $6.40 (5th) and $3.40 (6th), $2.20 (7th), $5.60 (8th) and $3.20 (9th).

The BEST BET of the Day (10 5-1-2) Highly Justin (M/L 9-2) took the early money in the wagering, opening at 3-2 odds but did floating up to close at 2-1 to be the co-favorite. He ran a strong race showing tactial speed, took the lead in mid-stretch, and gamely fought off a rivals challenge to the wire, getting the head bob in the photo for the win, returning $6.40 to WIN, $3.80 to PLACE and $3.40 to SHOW.

The LONGSHOT PICK (9 3-0-0) Three Ways Home was scratched. Usually when time permits I’ll post an alternate pick, but since none of my other top picks met my personal criteria (5-1 M/L or greater) there was no Longshot pick of the day.

For Saturday races the weather forecast calls for Mostly Cloudy skies, but just a 20% chance of precipitation. At 10:00am on race day, the MAIN TRACK is listed as FAST. Selections for the Laurel Park, Saturday, Dec. 8th are posted below. Selections for all races posted were handicapped based on making multi-race wagers such as DOUBLE’s, Pick-3’s and Pick-4’s using all three (3) listed for each race in each leg.

1st race – $12,500 Claiming for 3 y.o. and up – 7 furlongs
#1 – Bravo Romeo (4-5) POE #1A – Peaceadaaction SCRATCHED
#3 – A Fleet Spirit (6-1)
#6 – No Shenanigans (3-1)

2nd race – $15,000 Claiming for N2L fillies and mares 3 y.o. and up – 6 furlongs
#7 – Lookin for Me (6-1)
#2 – Lil Escape Artist (3-1)
#3 – Roxbury Rocket (6-1)

3rd race – $38,000 Maidens for 2 y.o. – about 1 1/16 miles
#4 – Heat Press (5-2)
#7 – Wellington Wizard (7-2)
#3 – In Todd We Trust (3-1)

4th race – $40,000 Allowance N1X for MD-Bred 3 y.o. and up – about 1 1/16 miles
#4 – Schist (2-1)
#1 – Warrensburg (7-2)
#6 – G G’s Buddy (15-1)

5th race – $5,000 Claiming for 3 y.o. and up N2Y or N4L – 6 furlongs
#3 – Vote Yes for Love (8-1) $$$ LONGSHOT $$$
#8 – Lastcallfordisco (5-2)
#9 – Funky Country (6-1)

6th race – $7,500 Starter Allowance for 3 y.o. and up – 7 furlongs
#2 – Flying Forward (5-1) *** BEST BET ***
#5 – Brimstone Island (2-1)
#4 – Everybody’s Daddy (10-1)

7th race – $5,000 Claiming for 3 y.o. and up N2Y or N4L – 6 furlongs
#8 – Spellit (3-1)
#4 – Jack o’ Lantern (5-2)
#3 – Morumsco (5-1)

8th race – $125,000 City of Laurel Stakes for 3 y.o. – 7 furlongs
#3 – Hardened Wildcat (7-5)
#2 – Brigand (3-1)
#7 – Bellefire (10-1)

9th race – $5,000 Claiming for 3 y.o. OR N3L 4 y.o. and up – 5½ furlongs
#8 – Brayzen Billy SCRATCHED
#6 – Summer Robin (7-5)
#1 – Cat in Motion (4-1)
#3 – Oil Rig (9-2)

GOOD LUCK!

Comments (0)

2012-BC-BobBaffert

Tags: , ,

Breeders’ Cup Act I: Selections for the Six Exciting Chase Scenes on Friday

Posted on 01 November 2012 by Gary Quill

UPDATED with MORE SCRATCHES: Please note in addition to the scratched horses in the BC Marathon and BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, in the BC Juvenile Sprint #5 – Super Ninety Nine has now been scratched (see below).

When the Breeders’ Cup (BC) expanded the number of races from the original eight (8) in order to make it a two day event, Day 1 (Friday) was unofficially “Ladies Day”. That is, all of the races on Friday featured fillies and mares. Over the past couple past years, that is no longer the case. Now it seems the BC brass review the pre-entries for the fillies and mare races, and if there are any that have a superstar or multiple stars, they’ll move that race to Saturday (Day 2).

There are a total of 15 races for the 29th Breeders’ Cup Championships, six (6) Friday and nine (9) on Saturday. 4 of the 6 races on Friday are restricted to fillies and mares. The two exceptions are the 6 furlong Juvenile Sprint and Grade 2 (G2) Marathon. They are the first two Breeders’ Cup races (4th and 5th on the card) this year held at Santa Anita Park, Post Time is 1:06pm PDT (4:06pm EDT) and broadcast live on NBC Sports Network.


Bob Baffert hopes to “bolt” to the Winners’ Circle often as he has (10) runners in eight (8) races over the 2 day event, while Mike Smith needs just one win to become the all-time winningest Breeders’ Cup jockey. He has eight mounts and is currently tied with Jerry Bailey, each having 15 wins.

These 6 races will be enough to wet the appetite of hard-core horse players. It’s like being able to open a present or two on Christmas Eve, to help quell your excitement in order to settle down enough to get a goodnights’ sleep before the big day. Saturday features nine (9) BC races, concluding with the $5 million Classic.

Below are my opinions on each of Friday’s six (6) Breeders’ Cup races. The horses are those who I feel have the best chance at winning versus being able to complete an Exacta, Trifecta or Superfecta. Hence, Double, Pick-3 and Pick-4 players take note. All Post Times are listed as Eastern Daylight Time (EDT):

BC Juvenile Sprint – 6 furlongs (Dirt) – $500,000 (SA – Race 4; 4:06pm EDT)

#1 – Hightail (8-1)
#2 – Ceiling Kitty (12-1)
#3 – Merit Man (8-5)
#4 – South Floyd (6-1)
#5 – Super Ninety Nine *** SCRATCHED ***
#6 – Harardous (8-1)
#7 – Sweet Shirley Mae (4-1)

The inaugural running of the Juvenile Sprint was just a year ago when Secret Circle easily disposed of 8 rivals as the prohibitive 2-5 betting choice.

I’ll go out on a limb and say the winner of the 2nd running will provide a higher WIN price. Don’t be fooled by slow 5 furlong work by #8 – Merit Man. Trainer Bob Hess has used this pattern in the past with this guy. #4 – South Floyd should be setting the early pace with the rest of the pack not far behind.

Horse to Watch: English invader #2 – Ceiling Kitty is 1 of 2 fillies in here, but has faced her male counterparts in all 7 career outings, being victorious in 3. She might be worth a look as she gets HOF rider John Velazquez in the irons for her natural dirt debut.

Fact: #1 – Hightail is the only maiden in the field, trying to win for the 1st time in his 9th lifetime start.

GQ’s pick: #3 – Merit Man, #1 – Hightail, #4 – South Floyd

G1 BC Marathon – 1 3/4 mile (Dirt) – $500,000 (SA – Race 5; 4:48pm EDT)

#1 – Atigun (9-2)
#2 – Fame and Glory (GB) (5-1)
#3 – Balladry (30-1)
#4 – Grassy (30-1)
#5 – Jaycito (6-1)
#6 – Calidoscopio (ARG) (8-1)
#7 – Not Abroad (5-1)
#8 – Romp (30-1)
#9 – Almudena (PER) (30-1)
#10 – Eldaafer (8-1)
#11 – Commander (15-1)
#12 – Worth Repeating *** SCRATCHED ***
#13 – Sense of Purpose (IRE) (15-1)
#14 – Juniper Pass (30-1)

The Marathon was added to the BC program in 2008. The winners in the first 2 runnings of this event were European shippers, while the next 2 by runners bred and raced in the USA.

The first two years were run on the synthetic surface at Santa Anita Park (SA) but switch to natural dirt in 2010 and 2011 at Churchill Downs (CD). The 2012 Marathon will be run on natural dirt as the SA main track is back to Mother’s Nature dirt. Based on the short history of race the track surface seems to dictate from what continent the winner hails. This years field of 14 compromises of just two (2) Europeans, #2 – Fame and Gloryand #13 – Sense of Purpose. In 43 races between to two, none have been on natural dirt. There are two (2) South American breds who race in Argentina (#6 – Calidoscopio and #9 – Almudena) but have nice dirt track resume’s.

Horse to Watch: #6 – Calidoscopio has hit the board in 15 of 24 main track races, winning 7 of them. He’s made a career from running distances of 1¼ to 2 miles and appears to be able to “run all day”. No one really knows how stiff the competition is in Argentina, but that 2.01 3/5 on May 1 going 10 furlongs isn’t chopped liver, unless it was run on asphalt. This 9 year old can make BC history by becoming the oldest winner of a BC race (a few have won at age 7).

Fact: #10 – Eldaafer won this event in 2010 at Churchill Downs.

GQ’s pick: #2 – Fame and Glory, #14 – Juniper Pass, #6 – Calidoscopio

Comments (5)