Navy makes first visit to Toledo since 2001 Saturday

October 18, 2013 | WNST Staff

Game 6 Navy (3-2) at Toledo (3-3, 2-1 Mid-American)
Date and Kickoff Oct. 19, 2013 at 12:00 pm ET
Location Toledo, Ohio | Glass Bowl (26,248)
Television ESPNews
TV Talent Ryan Ruocco (play-by-play), Pete Najarian (analyst)

Setting the Stage

• Navy and Toledo will meet for the fourth time on the gridiron when they square off on Saturday at the Glass Bowl (26,248) in Toledo at 12 noon.
• Saturday’s game will be televised by ESPNews with Ryan Ruocco (play-by-play) and Pete Najarian (color) on the call.

Scouting Toledo
• Toledo owns a deceiving 3-3 record with losses to Florida (24-6), Missouri (38-23) and Ball State (31-24), who are a combined 16-3 (.842) on the year.  Missouri is 6-0 and ranked No. 14 in the country, Florida is 4-2 and ranked No. 22 and Ball State is 6-1, which includes a three-touchdown victory over Virginia.
•    Toledo’s wins include Eastern Washington, who won the FCS National Championship a year ago and defeated Oregon State (the Beavers’ only loss this year) in the season opener, and blowout victories over Central and Western Michigan.
•    The Toledo offense is led by one of the top running backs in college football, senior David Fluellen.  Fluellen has rushed for 846 yards and nine touchdowns on 129 carries.  He ranks third in the country in rushing touchdowns and is fifth in rushing yards per game (141.0).
•    Quarterback Terrance Owens has completed 103 of 169 pass attempts (.609) for 999 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions.  He is completing 60.9 percent of his passes.  Owens’ favorite target is Bernard Reedy, who has 43 catches for 413 yards and two touchdowns.  Reedy ranks 14th in the country in receptions per game.
•    The Toledo offensive line has given Owens all day to throw as it ranks No. 1 in the country in pass sacks allowed, giving up just three sacks in six games.
•    The Toledo defense is led by junior linebacker Junior Sylvestre and sophomore linebacker Trent Voss.  Sylvestre has recorded 59 tackles, three tackles for a loss, recovered three fumbles and picked off a pass, while Voss has been in on 46 tackles with 3.5 tackles for a loss, two forced fumbles and a fumble recovery.
•    The Rockets are ranked 12th nationally in turnovers gained (15), 24th in turnovers lost (seven) and eighth in turnover margin (+1.3).
Navy vs. THE MAC
•    Navy is 16-9 (.640) all-time against teams that are currently in the Mid-American Conference.
•    The Mids have had the most success against Kent State, posting a 5-0 record against the Golden Flash, while Ball State has given the Mids the most trouble, beating Navy in all thre meetings.

Mids Seek 4-2 Start For First Time Since 2010
• Navy is looking to start its season with a 4-2 record for the first time since 2010.
•    That year, the Mids started off with a disappointing 17-14 loss to Maryland and then, after edging Georgia Southern (13-7) and defeating Louisiana Tech (37-23), the Mids lost to Air Force, 14-6.  Navy, however, would bounce back to win seven of its final eight regular-season games including a 35-17 victory over Notre Dame and a 76-35 victory over East Carolina.  Navy lost the season finale in the Poinsettia Bowl, 35-14, to San Diego State.

Feast Or Famine
•    Over the last two years the Mids have posted an 11-7 (.611) record, going 8-5 in 2012 and 3-2 so far in 2013.
•    During that time period, the Mids are scoring 33.5 points per game in the 11 wins (369 points) and just 12.9 points in the seven losses (90 points).
•    The defense is allowing 17 points per game in the 11 wins (187 points) and 36.1 points per game in the seven losses (253 points).
•    The fewest points the Navy offense has scored in a win over the last two years is 17 against Army in 2012, while eight times the Mids have scored 28 or more.  Navy has scored 10 points or less in five of the seven losses over that same period.
•    The defense has given up 30 or more points in five of the seven losses, but just twice in the 11 wins.

Mids want To Pass On Their Own Terms    
• With Keenan Reynolds at quarterback, the Mids have wanted to go to the air more than they have in the past as Navy has not had a quarterback, outside of Ricky Dobbs, who can throw it as well as Reynolds.
• With that being said, the Mids still want to pass on their own terms and not be forced to throw when the defense is expecting it.  Navy still must have success running the football to make the passing game effective and in games where Navy is forced to throw, it has not had nearly as much success.
• Dating back to 2003, Navy is 18-1 (.947) when throwing the ball 0-5 times in a game and 43-13 (.768) when throwing the ball 6-10 times in a game.  As a whole, they are 61-14 (.813) when throwing the ball 10 or fewer times.
•    Conversely, Navy is 25-33 (.431) when throwing the ball 11 times or more, including a 5-13 (.278) mark when throwing the ball 16 times or more.